GGOALVIO

Poland · III Liga - Group 1 · 10/5/2024, 4:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Unia Skierniewice · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-0

Highconfidence

Unia Skierniewice are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DLDWD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Broń Radom are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLWLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Unia Skierniewice hold a 14.4-point power-rating edge (63.6 v 49.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 62.5% in the III Liga - Group 1, while Unia Skierniewice holds the strongest overall chance at 63% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 54% BTTS chance and 59% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Unia Skierniewice

Probability

62.5%

Model confidence

62.5%

Unia Skierniewice has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Unia SkierniewiceDLDWD

GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
Broń RadomWLWLW

GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Unia SkierniewiceBroń Radom
76.5Attack38.2
54.9Defence57.8
63.7Form47.1
63.6Power49.1
2.19xG0.92
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