GGOALVIO

Poland · III Liga - Group 1 · 4/5/2024, 5:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Unia Skierniewice · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

Unia Skierniewice are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDLWD), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Bełchatów are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WWLDD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Unia Skierniewice hold an 8.8-point power-rating edge (63.6 v 54.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 56.9% in the III Liga - Group 1, while Unia Skierniewice holds the strongest overall chance at 57% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 69% BTTS chance and 73% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Unia Skierniewice

Probability

56.9%

Model confidence

56.9%

Unia Skierniewice has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Unia SkierniewiceWDLWD

GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
BełchatówWWLDD

GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
Unia SkierniewiceBełchatów
76.5Attack56.9
54.9Defence52.0
63.7Form54.9
63.6Power54.7
2.46xG1.39
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