Carioca CCarioca C
Friday, 3 July 2026Last updated 10:12
Uni Souza

Uni Souza

Home
DW
51
Full time
EC Vera Cruz

EC Vera Cruz

Away
L
GoalVio prediction
46% confidence
Uni Souza(46%)
Most likely exact score2-1
Prediction correct— Result: Uni Souza
Win probability
Uni Souza
46%
Draw
25%
EC Vera Cruz
29%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Uni Souza
86
EC Vera Cruz
34
Defence
Uni Souza
82
EC Vera Cruz
0
Momentum
Uni Souza
67
EC Vera Cruz
0
Danger (xG)
Uni Souza
2.25
EC Vera Cruz
0.90
Both teams to score
Yes
Over 2.5 goals
Yes
xG for (Uni Souza)
2.25
avg per match
xG for (EC Vera Cruz)
0.90
avg per match
xG against (Uni Souza)
0.45
avg per match
xG against (EC Vera Cruz)
4.50
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
Uni SouzaUni Souza
DW
EC Vera CruzEC Vera Cruz
L

Probability breakdown

46% confidence
Uni Souza46%
Draw25%
EC Vera Cruz29%

Uni Souza leads with 46% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

Uni Souza head into this in Carioca C fixture in mixed form (DW), while EC Vera Cruz arrive in mixed form (L). Uni Souza have a 50% win rate across their last 2 matches, compared to 0% for EC Vera Cruz over 1 games.

Tactically, this looks like a one-sided contest. Uni Souza's elite attack (86/100) faces a vulnerable EC Vera Cruz defence (0/100), while EC Vera Cruz's attack is up against a watertight Uni Souza backline. The model sees a clear mismatch in Uni Souza's favour.

Uni Souza have won 1 of their last 2 home fixtures, averaging 2.5 goals scored and 0.5 conceded per game at home. EC Vera Cruz have found it tough away from home, failing to win any of their last 1 away matches. They average 1.0 goals scored and 5.0 conceded per away game.

Uni Souza have the upper hand in recent meetings, winning 1 of the last 1 encounters, averaging 6.0 goals per game, both teams scored in 1 of those fixtures.

The GoalVio engine projects Uni Souza to win with 46% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 2-1. Win probabilities: Uni Souza 4600%, Draw 2530%, EC Vera Cruz 2870%. BTTS: Yes, Over 2.5: Yes.

Head to head

Uni Souza 1Draws 00 EC Vera Cruz
Avg goals: 6.0BTTS in 1/1
3 Jul 2026
Uni Souza
W51
EC Vera Cruz

Recent form

Uni Souza

Uni Souza

D
vs Barra Mansa
7 Jul 2026
00
W
vs EC Vera Cruz
3 Jul 2026
51
EC Vera Cruz

EC Vera Cruz

L
@ Uni Souza
3 Jul 2026
15

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Uni Souza vs EC Vera Cruz?

GoalVio's model predicts Uni Souza to win with 46% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Uni Souza vs EC Vera Cruz?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 2-1.

Will both teams score in Uni Souza vs EC Vera Cruz?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: Yes — both teams are expected to score.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Uni Souza vs EC Vera Cruz?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: Yes.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more