U.N.A.M. - Pumasvs
Tigres UANL
COMPLETEDMexico · Liga MX · 10/25/2026, 3:10:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
U.N.A.M. - Pumas · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (10%), 2-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
U.N.A.M. - Pumas 1-1 Tigres UANL
Original prediction
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 September 2026 at 16:10 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.43 | 38.1% | 38.5% | 0.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.35 | 27.7% | 29.2% | 1.5 pts |
| Away | 2.71 | 34.2% | 32.3% | -1.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.35 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
0.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–010%
- 3.2–19%
Predicted outcome
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
Probability
38.5%
Model confidence
38.5%
U.N.A.M. - Pumas has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 10 · avg 1.60/2.00
GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40