GGOALVIO

Mexico · Liga MX · 8/24/2026, 1:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

U.N.A.M. - Pumas · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

U.N.A.M. - Pumas are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLWWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Necaxa are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLLWW), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and u.N.A.M. - Pumas hold a 2.6-point power-rating edge (61.5 v 58.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely result in the Liga MX, favouring U.N.A.M. - Pumas with 10.9% confidence, a 65% BTTS chance and 64% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

U.N.A.M. - Pumas

Probability

47.4%

Model confidence

10.9%

U.N.A.M. - Pumas has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

U.N.A.M. - PumasLLWWL

GF 7 · GA 10 · avg 1.40/2.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
NecaxaLLLWW

GF 6 · GA 10 · avg 1.20/2.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
U.N.A.M. - PumasNecaxa
77.8Attack55.6
44.4Defence44.4
66.7Form66.7
61.5Power58.8
1.90xG1.41
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