U.N.A.M. - Pumasvs
Leon
COMPLETEDMexico · Liga MX · 9/11/2026, 3:05:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
U.N.A.M. - Pumas · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (11%), 0-1 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
U.N.A.M. - Pumas 3-1 Leon
Original prediction
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.05 | 45.3% | 37.6% | -7.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.51 | 26.5% | 27.2% | 0.7 pts |
| Away | 3.28 | 28.3% | 35.2% | 7.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.05 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-7.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–011%
- 3.0–110%
Predicted outcome
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
Probability
37.6%
Model confidence
37.6%
U.N.A.M. - Pumas has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 6 · avg 0.40/1.20
GF 7 · GA 3 · avg 1.40/0.60