U.N.A.M. - Pumasvs
Atletico San Luis
COMPLETEDMexico · Liga MX · 9/27/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
U.N.A.M. - Pumas · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (10%), 1-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
U.N.A.M. - Pumas 2-3 Atletico San Luis
Original prediction
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 5 September 2026 at 06:46 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.96 | 47.2% | 51.4% | 4.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.52 | 26.4% | 23.8% | -2.6 pts |
| Away | 3.50 | 26.5% | 24.8% | -1.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
4.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.1–09%
Predicted outcome
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
Probability
51.4%
Model confidence
51.4%
U.N.A.M. - Pumas has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60
GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60