UNAM Pumas U21vs
Tigres UANL U21
COMPLETEDMexico · Liga MX U21 · 10/24/2026, 3:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
UNAM Pumas U21 · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: UNAM Pumas U21 1-0 Tigres UANL U21, with an exact score probability of 15%.
Prediction record
Final result
UNAM Pumas U21 1-0 Tigres UANL U21
Original prediction
UNAM Pumas U21
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 24 September 2026 at 12:10 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.19 | 41.1% | 42.4% | 1.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.25 | 27.7% | 29.2% | 1.5 pts |
| Away | 2.89 | 31.2% | 28.4% | -2.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.19 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
1.3 pts
Projected Score
UNAM Pumas U21 1–0 Tigres UANL U21
Exact score probability: 15%
Predicted outcome
UNAM Pumas U21
Probability
42.4%
Model confidence
42.4%
UNAM Pumas U21 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80
GF 11 · GA 7 · avg 2.20/1.40