GGOALVIO

Mexico · Liga MX U21 · 8/16/2026, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Queretaro U21 · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

UNAM Pumas U21 are 0W-4D-1L in their last 5 (LDDDD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Queretaro U21 are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WLLDD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Queretaro U21 hold a 5.7-point power-rating edge (40.2 v 45.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.9% in the Liga MX U21, while Queretaro U21 holds the strongest overall chance at 34% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 42% BTTS chance and 33% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Queretaro U21

Probability

33.9%

Model confidence

14.9%

Queretaro U21 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

UNAM Pumas U21LDDDD

GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 0/5
Queretaro U21WLLDD

GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
UNAM Pumas U21Queretaro U21
22.2Attack44.4
66.7Defence66.7
22.2Form33.3
40.2Power45.9
1.00xG1.02
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