GGOALVIO

Mexico · Liga MX U21 · 7/18/2026, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Pachuca U21 · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

UNAM Pumas U21 are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DDLWD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Pachuca U21 are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (DDWWW), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Pachuca U21 hold an 18.9-point power-rating edge (40.2 v 59.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.9% in the Liga MX U21, while Pachuca U21 holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 42% BTTS chance and 33% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Pachuca U21

Probability

36.2%

Model confidence

14.9%

Pachuca U21 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

UNAM Pumas U21DDLWD

GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
Pachuca U21DDWWW

GF 12 · GA 7 · avg 2.40/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
UNAM Pumas U21Pachuca U21
22.2Attack44.4
66.7Defence66.7
22.2Form55.6
40.2Power59.1
0.96xG1.07
View match centre →