GGOALVIO

Mexico · Liga MX U21 · 8/23/2026, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

UNAM Pumas U21 · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Mediumconfidence

UNAM Pumas U21 are 0W-4D-1L in their last 5 (LDDDD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Necaxa U21 are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LLDLD), averaging 0.60 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and uNAM Pumas U21 hold a 17.1-point power-rating edge (40.2 v 23.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely result in the Liga MX U21, favouring UNAM Pumas U21 with 14.1% confidence, a 43% BTTS chance and 36% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

UNAM Pumas U21

Probability

46.8%

Model confidence

14.1%

UNAM Pumas U21 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

UNAM Pumas U21LDDDD

GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 0/5
Necaxa U21LLDLD

GF 3 · GA 10 · avg 0.60/2.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
UNAM Pumas U21Necaxa U21
22.2Attack11.1
66.7Defence33.3
22.2Form11.1
40.2Power23.1
1.32xG0.83
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