UNAM Pumas U21vs
Cruz Azul U21
COMPLETEDMexico · Liga MX U21 · 10/11/2026, 3:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
UNAM Pumas U21 · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: UNAM Pumas U21 0-0 Cruz Azul U21, with an exact score probability of 18%.
Prediction record
Final result
UNAM Pumas U21 2-1 Cruz Azul U21
Original prediction
UNAM Pumas U21
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 12 September 2026 at 21:31 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.31 | 39.0% | 37.8% | -1.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.23 | 27.9% | 30.3% | 2.5 pts |
| Away | 2.72 | 33.1% | 31.8% | -1.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.31 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-1.2 pts
Projected Score
UNAM Pumas U21 0–0 Cruz Azul U21
Exact score probability: 18%
Predicted outcome
UNAM Pumas U21
Probability
37.8%
Model confidence
37.8%
UNAM Pumas U21 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00
GF 8 · GA 9 · avg 1.60/1.80