GGOALVIO

Mexico · Liga MX U21 · 9/6/2026, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Club Leon U21 · BTTS No · Under 2.5

Projected score: UNAM Pumas U21 0-0 Club Leon U21, with an exact score probability of 15%.

Prediction record

Final result

UNAM Pumas U21 1-1 Club Leon U21

Original prediction

Club Leon U21

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:27 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home2.1940.9%30.6%-10.4 pts
Draw3.1428.6%29.2%0.6 pts
Away2.9430.5%40.3%9.8 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.14 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

9.8 pts

Projected Score

UNAM Pumas U21 0–0 Club Leon U21

Exact score probability: 15%

Predicted outcome

Club Leon U21

Probability

40.3%

Model confidence

40.3%

Club Leon U21 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

UNAM Pumas U21LLWLD

GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Club Leon U21WWDLD

GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
UNAM Pumas U21Club Leon U21
27.8Attack50.0
61.1Defence66.7
27.8Form61.1
41.8Power61.7
0.80xG1.16
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