UNA Strassenvs
Racing FC Union Luxembourg
COMPLETEDLuxembourg · National Division · 10/18/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
UNA Strassen · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
UNA Strassen 1-1 Racing FC Union Luxembourg
Original prediction
UNA Strassen
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 18:29 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.74 | 51.5% | 51.3% | -0.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.47 | 25.9% | 23.0% | -2.8 pts |
| Away | 3.96 | 22.7% | 25.6% | 3.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.47 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-0.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.2–08%
Predicted outcome
UNA Strassen
Probability
51.3%
Model confidence
51.3%
UNA Strassen has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 17 · GA 1 · avg 3.40/0.20
GF 16 · GA 4 · avg 3.20/0.80