GGOALVIO

Luxembourg · National Division · 9/11/2026, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

UN Kaerjeng 97 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5

Most likely scores: 3-1 (7%), 2-1 (7%), 3-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

UN Kaerjeng 97 5-0 Victoria Rosport

Original prediction

UN Kaerjeng 97

Outcome

Correct

Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:12 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home1.8848.0%54.4%6.4 pts
Draw3.5525.5%20.8%-4.6 pts
Away3.4226.5%24.8%-1.7 pts

Historical EV

1X2 0.88 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

6.3 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.3–17%
  2. 2.2–17%
  3. 3.3–27%

Predicted outcome

UN Kaerjeng 97

Probability

54.4%

Model confidence

54.4%

UN Kaerjeng 97 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

UN Kaerjeng 97LWWLW

GF 13 · GA 8 · avg 2.60/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Victoria RosportLDWLL

GF 10 · GA 10 · avg 2.00/2.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
UN Kaerjeng 97Victoria Rosport
77.8Attack55.6
27.8Defence22.2
50.0Form22.2
49.7Power33.5
3.05xG1.78
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