GGOALVIO

Luxembourg · National Division · 8/6/2023, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

UN Kaerjeng 97 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

UN Kaerjeng 97 are 2W-0D-1L in their last 3 (WWL), averaging 4.00 scored and 1.67 conceded, while Mondercange are 1W-0D-1L in their last 2 (LW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.50 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 5 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and UN Kaerjeng 97 hold a 5.8-point power-rating edge (44.8 v 39.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 61.3% in the National Division, while UN Kaerjeng 97 holds the strongest overall chance at 61% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 62% BTTS chance and 67% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

UN Kaerjeng 97

Probability

61.3%

Model confidence

61.3%

UN Kaerjeng 97 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

UN Kaerjeng 97WWL

GF 12 · GA 5 · avg 4.00/1.67

BTTS 2/3O2.5 3/3
MondercangeLW

GF 2 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/1.50

BTTS 1/2O2.5 1/2
UN Kaerjeng 97Mondercange
83.3Attack36.7
0.0Defence36.7
50.0Form35.6
44.8Power39.1
2.38xG1.13
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