Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Šumperk · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Šumperk are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WWDDW), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.20 conceded, while Zabreh are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (LDDDL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Šumperk hold a 3.9-point power-rating edge (55.4 v 51.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 47.7% in the 4. liga - Divizie F, while Šumperk holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 57% BTTS chance and 54% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Šumperk
Probability
47.7%
Model confidence
47.7%
Šumperk has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 1 · avg 1.40/0.20
GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60