Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Šumperk · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Šumperk are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWLDW), averaging 2.40 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Vítkovice are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWWLL), averaging 2.80 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 55.4 against 55.9. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.0% in the 4. liga - Divizie F, while Šumperk holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 67% BTTS chance and 65% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Šumperk
Probability
43.0%
Model confidence
43.0%
Šumperk has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 4 · avg 2.40/0.80
GF 14 · GA 8 · avg 2.80/1.60