Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Šumperk · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
Šumperk are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (DDWWD), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Vratimov are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWWLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Šumperk hold a 3.4-point power-rating edge (55.4 v 52.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 57.4% in the 4. liga - Divizie F, while Šumperk holds the strongest overall chance at 57% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 73% BTTS chance and 77% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Šumperk
Probability
57.4%
Model confidence
57.4%
Šumperk has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 2 · avg 1.20/0.40
GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80