Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Šumperk · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
Šumperk are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LDWWL), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Vratimov are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WDWWL), averaging 2.60 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Šumperk hold a 3.4-point power-rating edge (55.4 v 52.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 57.4% in the 4. liga - Divizie F, while Šumperk holds the strongest overall chance at 57% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 73% BTTS chance and 77% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Šumperk
Probability
57.4%
Model confidence
57.4%
Šumperk has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20
GF 13 · GA 8 · avg 2.60/1.60