Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Šumperk · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Šumperk are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLWLD), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Opava II are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WWLLL), averaging 2.00 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Opava II hold a 6.4-point power-rating edge (55.4 v 61.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.8% in the 4. liga - Divizie F, while Šumperk holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 64% BTTS chance and 61% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Šumperk
Probability
36.8%
Model confidence
36.8%
Šumperk has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/1.40
GF 10 · GA 11 · avg 2.00/2.20