Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Šumperk · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
Šumperk are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLDWL), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Krnov are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (DDWWW), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Šumperk hold a 10.9-point power-rating edge (55.4 v 44.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 57.6% in the 4. liga - Divizie F, while Šumperk holds the strongest overall chance at 58% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 43% BTTS chance and 43% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Šumperk
Probability
57.6%
Model confidence
57.6%
Šumperk has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 9 · avg 2.40/1.80
GF 5 · GA 2 · avg 1.00/0.40