Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Šumperk · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 2-0
Šumperk are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWDWW), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Jeseník are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LDLDL), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Šumperk hold a 20.4-point power-rating edge (55.4 v 35.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 73.7% in the 4. liga - Divizie F, while Šumperk holds the strongest overall chance at 74% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 44% BTTS chance and 58% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Šumperk
Probability
73.7%
Model confidence
73.7%
Šumperk has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 7 · avg 2.40/1.40
GF 4 · GA 13 · avg 0.80/2.60