Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Havířov · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Šumperk are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LWDDW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Havířov are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWWL), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Havířov hold a 9.3-point power-rating edge (55.4 v 64.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.5% in the 4. liga - Divizie F, while Havířov holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 55% BTTS chance and 49% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Havířov
Probability
38.5%
Model confidence
38.5%
Havířov has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20
GF 8 · GA 3 · avg 1.60/0.60