Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Šumperk · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Šumperk are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WDLLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Bílovec are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLWLL), averaging 1.60 scored and 3.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Šumperk hold a 4.2-point power-rating edge (55.4 v 51.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 53.8% in the 4. liga - Divizie F, while Šumperk holds the strongest overall chance at 54% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 48% BTTS chance and 47% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Šumperk
Probability
53.8%
Model confidence
53.8%
Šumperk has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20
GF 8 · GA 15 · avg 1.60/3.00