Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Šumperk · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Šumperk are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWLWD), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Bílovec are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWWLD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Šumperk hold a 4.2-point power-rating edge (55.4 v 51.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 53.8% in the 4. liga - Divizie F, while Šumperk holds the strongest overall chance at 54% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 48% BTTS chance and 47% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Šumperk
Probability
53.8%
Model confidence
53.8%
Šumperk has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 6 · avg 2.00/1.20
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00