Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
UMM Salal · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
UMM Salal are 0W-2D-2L in their last 4 (DLDL), averaging 0.75 scored and 1.75 conceded, while Qatar SC are 0W-1D-1L in their last 2 (LD), averaging 2.00 scored and 2.50 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 6 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and UMM Salal hold a 5.3-point power-rating edge (46.5 v 41.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 48.0% in the Stars League, while UMM Salal holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 75% BTTS chance and 77% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
UMM Salal
Probability
48.0%
Model confidence
48.0%
UMM Salal has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 7 · avg 0.75/1.75
GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 2.00/2.50