Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Al Sadd · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 0-3
UMM Salal are 0W-1D-1L in their last 2 (DL), averaging 0.50 scored and 1.50 conceded, while Al Sadd are 1W-0D-0L in their last 1 (W), averaging 4.00 scored and 0.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 1 of those 3 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Al Sadd hold a 33.1-point power-rating edge (46.5 v 79.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-3 the most likely exact scoreline at 77.1% in the Stars League, while Al Sadd holds the strongest overall chance at 77% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 55% BTTS chance and 73% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Al Sadd
Probability
77.1%
Model confidence
77.1%
Al Sadd has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 1 · GA 3 · avg 0.50/1.50
GF 4 · GA 0 · avg 4.00/0.00