UMM Salalvs
Al Ahli Doha
COMPLETEDQatar · Stars League · 9/23/2023, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
UMM Salal · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
UMM Salal are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (DDLDL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Al Ahli Doha are 0W-0D-4L in their last 4 (LLLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 3.25 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 9 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and UMM Salal hold a 12.3-point power-rating edge (46.5 v 34.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 56.9% in the Stars League, while UMM Salal holds the strongest overall chance at 57% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 79% BTTS chance and 83% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
UMM Salal
Probability
56.9%
Model confidence
56.9%
UMM Salal has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80
GF 4 · GA 13 · avg 1.00/3.25