UMECITvs
Union Cocle
COMPLETEDPanama · Liga Panameña de Fútbol · 9/22/2026, 1:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
UMECIT · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: UMECIT 0-0 Union Cocle, with an exact score probability of 18%.
Prediction record
Final result
UMECIT 1-0 Union Cocle
Original prediction
UMECIT
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 5 September 2026 at 10:50 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.25 | 39.6% | 45.9% | 6.3 pts |
| Draw | 2.76 | 32.3% | 30.0% | -2.3 pts |
| Away | 3.17 | 28.1% | 24.1% | -4.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.25 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
6.4 pts
Projected Score
UMECIT 0–0 Union Cocle
Exact score probability: 18%
Predicted outcome
UMECIT
Probability
45.9%
Model confidence
45.9%
UMECIT has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
UMECITWWDLL
GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Union CocleLLDLD
GF 4 · GA 12 · avg 0.80/2.40
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
UMECITUnion Cocle
46.9Attack30.7
59.3Defence64.0
45.7Form38.7
51.8Power46.2
1.10xG0.67