Umeå FCvs
Stockholm Internazionale
COMPLETEDSweden · Ettan - Norra · 9/13/2026, 11:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Stockholm Internazionale · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-0 (9%), 0-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Umeå FC 0-4 Stockholm Internazionale
Original prediction
Stockholm Internazionale
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 30 August 2026 at 00:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 5.03 | 17.8% | 30.6% | 12.7 pts |
| Draw | 4.07 | 22.0% | 26.6% | 4.6 pts |
| Away | 1.49 | 60.2% | 42.8% | -17.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.49 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-17.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–09%
- 3.0–19%
Predicted outcome
Stockholm Internazionale
Probability
42.8%
Model confidence
42.8%
Stockholm Internazionale has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60
GF 12 · GA 4 · avg 2.40/0.80