Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Piteå · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Umeå FC are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DLLLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Piteå are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LDWLW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Piteå hold a 19.2-point power-rating edge (26.2 v 45.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 9.9% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Piteå holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 70% BTTS chance and 69% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Piteå
Probability
42.4%
Model confidence
9.9%
Piteå has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 10 · avg 1.60/2.00
GF 10 · GA 8 · avg 2.00/1.60