Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Umeå FC · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Umeå FC are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWLDW), averaging 2.80 scored and 1.40 conceded, while IFK Luleå are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LDWDW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Umeå FC hold a 19.2-point power-rating edge (26.2 v 7.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.0% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Umeå FC holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 69% BTTS chance and 68% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Umeå FC
Probability
39.0%
Model confidence
39.0%
Umeå FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 14 · GA 7 · avg 2.80/1.40
GF 10 · GA 8 · avg 2.00/1.60