GGOALVIO

World · Friendlies Clubs · 1/24/2026, 3:15:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Umeå FC · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Umeå FC are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WLDWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Friska Viljor are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWLWW), averaging 2.60 scored and 2.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Umeå FC hold a 10.8-point power-rating edge (26.2 v 15.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.4% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Umeå FC holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 68% BTTS chance and 67% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Umeå FC

Probability

37.4%

Model confidence

37.4%

Umeå FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Umeå FCWLDWW

GF 11 · GA 6 · avg 2.20/1.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Friska ViljorLWLWW

GF 13 · GA 14 · avg 2.60/2.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
Umeå FCFriska Viljor
33.3Attack0.0
16.7Defence33.3
16.7Form0.0
26.2Power15.3
1.83xG1.63
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