Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Ulytau · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Ulytau 0-0 Zhetysu, with an exact score probability of 19%.
Prediction record
Final result
Ulytau 3-0 Zhetysu
Original prediction
Ulytau
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:54 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.19 | 41.4% | 44.1% | 2.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.05 | 29.6% | 29.9% | 0.3 pts |
| Away | 3.11 | 29.0% | 26.1% | -3.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.19 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
2.7 pts
Projected Score
Ulytau 0–0 Zhetysu
Exact score probability: 19%
Predicted outcome
Ulytau
Probability
44.1%
Model confidence
44.1%
Ulytau has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
UlytauLDLLD
GF 4 · GA 9 · avg 0.80/1.80
BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
ZhetysuLLDLL
GF 3 · GA 13 · avg 0.60/2.60
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
UlytauZhetysu
27.3Attack36.4
63.6Defence42.4
42.4Form28.8
47.3Power38.4
1.04xG0.70