Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Ulytau are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DLWDW), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Zhenys are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLLWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 47.3 against 47.6. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 46.9% in the Premier League, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 25% BTTS chance and 15% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
46.9%
Model confidence
46.9%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00
GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20