Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Ulytau · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Ulytau are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LLDDL), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Telavi are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DDWWL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Ulytau hold a 30.0-point power-rating edge (45.3 v 15.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.0% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Ulytau holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 65% BTTS chance and 64% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Ulytau
Probability
43.0%
Model confidence
43.0%
Ulytau has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 10 · avg 0.80/2.00
GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00