Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Ulytau · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Ulytau are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WLLDD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Samgurali are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DLWWD), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Samgurali hold a 13.4-point power-rating edge (45.3 v 58.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 34.7% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Ulytau holds the strongest overall chance at 35% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 65% BTTS chance and 62% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Ulytau
Probability
34.7%
Model confidence
34.7%
Ulytau has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00
GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00