Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Okzhetpes · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-1 (14%), 0-0 (14%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Ulytau 2-0 Okzhetpes
Original prediction
Okzhetpes
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 15 September 2026 at 19:04 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.89 | 31.2% | 28.6% | -2.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.47 | 26.0% | 28.0% | 2.1 pts |
| Away | 2.11 | 42.8% | 43.4% | 0.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
0.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–114%
- 3.0–014%
Predicted outcome
Okzhetpes
Probability
43.4%
Model confidence
43.4%
Okzhetpes has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
UlytauDLLWL
GF 7 · GA 11 · avg 1.40/2.20
BTTS 3/5O2.5 5/5
OkzhetpesWLWWW
GF 11 · GA 6 · avg 2.20/1.20
BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
UlytauOkzhetpes
30.8Attack52.6
59.0Defence55.1
41.0Form57.7
46.0Power56.8
0.86xG1.22