Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Ulytau · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Ulytau are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDDLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Meshakhte are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LDDWW), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Ulytau hold an 11.1-point power-rating edge (45.3 v 34.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 44.5% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Ulytau holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 66% BTTS chance and 67% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Ulytau
Probability
44.5%
Model confidence
44.5%
Ulytau has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 10 · avg 1.20/2.00
GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80