GGOALVIO

Kazakhstan · Premier League · 4/19/2026, 10:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Ulytau are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWDLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.80 conceded, while FK Tobol Kostanay are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DWLLD), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Ulytau hold a 3.6-point power-rating edge (47.3 v 43.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.6% in the Premier League, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 29% BTTS chance and 19% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

43.6%

Model confidence

43.6%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

UlytauWWDLW

GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
FK Tobol KostanayDWLLD

GF 11 · GA 6 · avg 2.20/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
UlytauFK Tobol Kostanay
27.3Attack35.0
63.6Defence53.3
42.4Form36.7
47.3Power43.8
0.83xG0.69
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