Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Ulytau are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LWDDW), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Aktobe are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLWLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Aktobe hold a 6.8-point power-rating edge (47.3 v 54.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.1% in the Premier League, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 32% BTTS chance and 23% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
41.1%
Model confidence
41.1%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80
GF 6 · GA 13 · avg 1.20/2.60