GGOALVIO

Australia · Tasmania NPL · 4/18/2026, 4:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

South Hobart · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 0-4

Highconfidence

Ulverstone are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLDLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 4.60 conceded, while South Hobart are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 4.00 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and South Hobart hold a 67.7-point power-rating edge (15.3 v 83.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-4 the most likely exact scoreline at 91.7% in the Tasmania NPL, while South Hobart holds the strongest overall chance at 92% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 45% BTTS chance and 83% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

South Hobart

Probability

91.7%

Model confidence

91.7%

South Hobart has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

UlverstoneLLDLL

GF 6 · GA 23 · avg 1.20/4.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
South HobartWWWWW

GF 20 · GA 3 · avg 4.00/0.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
UlverstoneSouth Hobart
27.8Attack100.0
0.0Defence70.4
7.4Form87.0
15.3Power83.0
0.60xG4.50
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