Ulverstonevs
Somerset
COMPLETEDAustralia · Tasmania Northern Championship · 3/15/2025, 5:45:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Ulverstone · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 4-2
Ulverstone are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WLWWW), averaging 3.40 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Somerset are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWDWW), averaging 4.00 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 10 passed 2.5 goals, and Ulverstone hold a 24.0-point power-rating edge (63.4 v 39.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 4-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 60.5% in the Tasmania Northern Championship, while Ulverstone holds the strongest overall chance at 61% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 91% BTTS chance and 96% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Ulverstone
Probability
60.5%
Model confidence
60.5%
Ulverstone has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 17 · GA 7 · avg 3.40/1.40
GF 20 · GA 6 · avg 4.00/1.20