Ulverstonevs
Somerset
COMPLETEDAustralia · Tasmania Northern Championship · 7/27/2024, 6:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Ulverstone · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 4-2
Ulverstone are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWWLD), averaging 3.00 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Somerset are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWD), averaging 5.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Ulverstone hold a 24.0-point power-rating edge (63.4 v 39.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 4-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 60.5% in the Tasmania Northern Championship, while Ulverstone holds the strongest overall chance at 61% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 91% BTTS chance and 96% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Ulverstone
Probability
60.5%
Model confidence
60.5%
Ulverstone has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 15 · GA 9 · avg 3.00/1.80
GF 25 · GA 5 · avg 5.00/1.00