GGOALVIO

Australia · Tasmania Northern Championship · 4/5/2025, 5:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Ulverstone · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 4-1

Highconfidence

Ulverstone are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWLW), averaging 4.40 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Riverside Olympic U21 are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWW), averaging 4.40 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Ulverstone hold a 40.0-point power-rating edge (63.4 v 23.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 4-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 77.4% in the Tasmania Northern Championship, while Ulverstone holds the strongest overall chance at 77% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 77% BTTS chance and 91% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Ulverstone

Probability

77.4%

Model confidence

77.4%

Ulverstone has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

UlverstoneWWWLW

GF 22 · GA 7 · avg 4.40/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
Riverside Olympic U21WWLWW

GF 22 · GA 5 · avg 4.40/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
UlverstoneRiverside Olympic U21
98.4Attack46.3
38.1Defence0.0
65.1Form27.8
63.4Power23.4
4.50xG1.53
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