GGOALVIO

Australia · Tasmania Northern Championship · 3/23/2024, 12:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Ulverstone · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 4-1

Highconfidence

Ulverstone are 1W-0D-0L in their last 1 (W), averaging 3.00 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Riverside Olympic U21 are 0W-0D-1L in their last 1 (L), averaging 2.00 scored and 4.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 2 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Ulverstone hold a 40.0-point power-rating edge (63.4 v 23.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 4-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 77.4% in the Tasmania Northern Championship, while Ulverstone holds the strongest overall chance at 77% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 77% BTTS chance and 91% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Ulverstone

Probability

77.4%

Model confidence

77.4%

Ulverstone has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

UlverstoneW

GF 3 · GA 2 · avg 3.00/2.00

BTTS 1/1O2.5 1/1
Riverside Olympic U21L

GF 2 · GA 4 · avg 2.00/4.00

BTTS 1/1O2.5 1/1
UlverstoneRiverside Olympic U21
98.4Attack46.3
38.1Defence0.0
65.1Form27.8
63.4Power23.4
4.50xG1.53
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