GGOALVIO

Australia · Tasmania Northern Championship · 6/29/2024, 4:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Northern Rangers · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-3

Highconfidence

Ulverstone are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DLLWW), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Northern Rangers are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (DWDWW), averaging 4.60 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Northern Rangers hold a 16.6-point power-rating edge (63.4 v 80.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-3 the most likely exact scoreline at 53.1% in the Tasmania Northern Championship, while Northern Rangers holds the strongest overall chance at 53% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 90% BTTS chance and 94% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Northern Rangers

Probability

53.1%

Model confidence

53.1%

Northern Rangers has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

UlverstoneDLLWW

GF 12 · GA 8 · avg 2.40/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Northern RangersDWDWW

GF 23 · GA 6 · avg 4.60/1.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
UlverstoneNorthern Rangers
98.4Attack100.0
38.1Defence59.3
65.1Form94.4
63.4Power80.0
2.59xG3.75
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