GGOALVIO

Australia · Tasmania Northern Championship · 7/20/2024, 4:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Ulverstone · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 4-1

Highconfidence

Ulverstone are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WWLDL), averaging 2.00 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Launceston United U21 are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLDWL), averaging 2.00 scored and 3.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 9 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Ulverstone hold a 47.6-point power-rating edge (63.4 v 15.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 4-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 85.5% in the Tasmania Northern Championship, while Ulverstone holds the strongest overall chance at 85% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 64% BTTS chance and 88% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Ulverstone

Probability

85.5%

Model confidence

85.5%

Ulverstone has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

UlverstoneWWLDL

GF 10 · GA 11 · avg 2.00/2.20

BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
Launceston United U21LLDWL

GF 10 · GA 15 · avg 2.00/3.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
UlverstoneLaunceston United U21
98.4Attack28.1
38.1Defence0.0
65.1Form14.0
63.4Power15.8
4.50xG1.03
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