GGOALVIO

Australia · Tasmania Northern Championship · 5/11/2024, 6:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Ulverstone · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 4-1

Highconfidence

Ulverstone are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DLWWW), averaging 3.00 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Launceston United U21 are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 4.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 10 passed 2.5 goals, and Ulverstone hold a 47.6-point power-rating edge (63.4 v 15.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 4-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 85.5% in the Tasmania Northern Championship, while Ulverstone holds the strongest overall chance at 85% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 64% BTTS chance and 88% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Ulverstone

Probability

85.5%

Model confidence

85.5%

Ulverstone has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

UlverstoneDLWWW

GF 15 · GA 8 · avg 3.00/1.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 5/5
Launceston United U21LLLLL

GF 6 · GA 23 · avg 1.20/4.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
UlverstoneLaunceston United U21
98.4Attack28.1
38.1Defence0.0
65.1Form14.0
63.4Power15.8
4.50xG1.03
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